Global market research

The scenario for 2025 markets is positive, but not without uncertainty. According to forecasts by BBVA Asset Management & Global Wealth (BBVA AM&GW), the largest economies will see another year of growth, although conditioned by the policies adopted by the Trump administration. “As we look ahead to 2025, it is currently presenting significant uncertainty, but the ultimate outcome doesn’t necessarily have to be bad in terms of investments,” explained Joaquín García Huerga, Director of Global Strategy at BBVA AM & GW, at the presentation of the Market Outlook for 2025. “The markets continue to have revaluation potential and fixed income offers positive expected returns. Therefore, mixed portfolios, including conservative portfolios, could obtain positive returns in 2025 once again, both in nominal and real terms.”

BBVA’s record profit for 2022 was warmly received by the market. Analysts have raised their valuations of the bank following the results release, given the strength of the figures and the bank’s guidance for 2023. During the February 1, 2023 trading day, the bank's share price climbed 4.7%.

BBVA's second quarter 2022 results were warmly received by the market. After the figures were released, the bank's shares rose 6% in trading on Friday, July 29. Earnings outperformed analysts' consensus estimate by 77%.

After announcing their strategic partnership last October, BBVA and ODDO BHF, a leading trading platform in Europe, are making progress in their partnership in the equity brokerage services business in Spain and Portugal. The Franco-German group recently opened its new branch at BBVA’s headquarters in Madrid with an equity research team in charge of covering Spanish and Portuguese stocks, as well as a sales team to meet the needs of institutional investors in these countries. BBVA thus underpins its Equity Capital Markets (ECM) capabilities and the added value it delivers to corporate clients.

The global economy is in the mature phase of the cycle, with an outlook for growth below potential in most countries. However, the rise in stock exchanges in 2020 should be largely due to valuation and, to a lesser extent, profit. "For the first time in recent years we see more potential in the European stock exchanges than in the S&P 500," said Joaquín García Huerga, head of Global Strategy at BBVA Asset Management, during the presentation of "Market Vision 2020."

Political concerns in Italy and the intensification of geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Turkey set a cautious tone in financial markets last week. The tone was not alleviated by the possibility of an easing in trade disputes between China and U.S.

BBVA Compass assembled a worldly-wise panel in Houston last week to help its Global Markets clients, all of whom maintain assets outside the U.S., sort through the barrage of global economic news to better understand the risks.

BBVA’s new app-based service for remittances, Tuyyo, recently launched, focusing initially on the important U.S. to Mexico corridor, with an eye toward expanding service into other countries soon.

According to BBVA Research’s Yearbook of Migration and Remittances, that’s a good strategy as remittances, or the money sent by migrants to their home country, flows to and from many countries around the world, Mexico being just one, and not even the largest receiver among them.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) announced the creation of a High Level Advisory Group on fintech to explore the economic and regulatory implications from developments in financial technology.

The BBVA Global Markets Research team presented the conclusions of its 2017 strategic equity report. According to BBVA analysts, the positive cyclical momentum is set to continue, with the metal & mining, oil & gas, construction materials, healthcare and telecommunications sectors becoming the best performing industries in Europe. In Spain, the Real Estate sector is expected to be the most dynamic in 2017.

Between 2011 and 2014, 700 million people opened a bank account. In the same period, the number of people outside the banking system fell by 20%, or 2 billion adults. In 2014, 62% of adults held an account, well above the 54% registered in 2011.